Finland and the ROC will face off for the Olympic gold medal in hockey. Here’s a look at Saturday’s final of the Beijing Olympic Hockey Tournament with our Finland-ROC picks.
Two traditional hockey powerhouses battle it out for gold at the Beijing Olympics in 2022. Finland is seeking its first Olympic hockey gold after winning silver in 1988 and 2006. Although there Namely, Olympians from Russia won the gold medal at the 2018 Olympics in Pyeongchang.
Finland have been strong throughout this Olympic tournament. It started with a 6-2 win over Slovakia and a 3-1 win over Latvia before rebounding from a three-goal deficit to beat Sweden 4-3 in extra time. A 5-1 win over Switzerland was followed by a 2-0 win over Slovakia in the semi-finals. Overall, Finland won all five games while beating their opponents 20-7.
The ROC started the Olympics with a 1-0 win over Switzerland and a 2-0 victory over Denmark before losing 6-5 in extra time to Czechia, a game in which Czechia scored three goals in advantage digital. Nonetheless, the ROC bounced back with a 3-1 win over Denmark and then took a 2-1 penalty shootout decision against Sweden in the semi-finals. The ROC outscored the opposition 13-8 in five games.
Here are my Finland-ROC picks and predictions for Saturday’s Olympic Gold Medal Hockey game (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and BetRivers; pick confidence based on a 1-5 star scale).
Finland vs. ROC Game Info
Date hour : Saturday, February 19, 11:10 p.m. ET
TV: NBC, USA, CBC
Location: National Indoor Stadium, Beijing, China
Finland vs ROC Odds Analysis
The first lines had briefly favored the ROC, but changed slightly to indicate that Finland is favored by a small margin. The price for Finland on the moneyline varies between -110 at BetRivers and -120 at FoxBet.
ROC is still preferred at BetMGM, priced at -115 on the moneyline, and can be found at -106 on FanDuel.
It’s expected to be a close game, so the puck line ends up being expensive to take the underdog. ROC +1.5 costs -350 on DraftKings Sportsbook while Finland -1.5 comes in at +285 on BetRivers or Barstool Sportsbook.
Games have been low scoring in this tournament and the 4.5 total speaks to that fact. There is more money (+118) on FanDuel for Plus while the best price for Minus is -102 at BetRivers and Barstool.
Finland vs ROC Picks
- Finland (-110 via BetRivers) ★★★★
- Over 4.5 (+118 via FanDuel) ★★★
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Predictions Finland vs ROC
The main difference between Finland and the ROC in this men’s Olympic hockey tournament is that Finland has been more effective offensively. Finland have scored on 13.79% of their shots, a high mark that may not be sustainable in the long run, but they are heading into the final game – there are no long-term concerns beyond that .
Part of that success is due to Finland’s stellar power play, which clicks 30.77% in five games.
Finland’s top two scorers in the tournament are Sakari Manninen and Teemu Hartikainen, both tied for the tournament lead with seven points. Manninen is a 30-year-old player in his fourth season in the KHL, so he should be familiar with his gold medal competition. Finland also has solid depth. Beyond Manninen, who has four goals, Miro Aaltonen, Harri Pesonen and Iiro Pakarinen have each scored three goals at these Olympics.
They’re not an offensive powerhouse, but there’s some semblance of scoring balance.
Goalkeeper to decide Olympic gold
Goalkeeper Harri Sateri has been outstanding for Finland, posting a .965 save percentage in four games. Sateri has also spent a lot of time in the KHL, including the past three seasons, so he will know many of the shooters he faces.
The ROC has tended to play lower rated matches at the Olympics. His top scorer was former New Jersey Devils winger Nikita Gusev, who had five assists in five games. The ROC have five other players who have contributed three points in five games but, as well as scoring five goals in a loss to Czechia, they are a true all-rounder.
Considering how weak the games have been, the ROC relied heavily on goaltender Ivan Fedotov, and he responded with a .944 save percentage. Russia allowed shots at a lower rate – 27.3 shots per 60 minutes with Fedotov in the net, compared to 28.8 shots per 60 minutes with Sateri in the Finland goal, but Finland were more productive offensively and this should overcome this relatively weak shot suppression perk. . It’s time for Finland to win a gold medal.
More than 4.5 (+118)
Three of Finland’s five games have resulted in a total of six or more goals and an average of 5.4 per game. His semi-final effort against Slovakia was perhaps more defensive than expected and that may be what it will take to clinch a gold medal against ROC. Finland has the ability to score more even if it’s a tight game.
The ROC operated in a very defensive style, scoring 21 goals for both sides in five games. Notably, 11 of those 21 goals came in one game. It’s possible that the ROC could win a low-scoring game with Finland, but with such a low total, get the upper hand with plus-money value on FanDuel.
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Finland-ROC Picks Made 2/18/2022 12:58 PM ET.