Finland capital

Store Capital (STOR) beats Q4 FFO and revenue estimates

Store Capital (STOR) exited with quarterly funds from operations (FFO) of $0.50 per share, beating Zacks consensus estimate of $0.49 per share. That compares to an FFO of $0.44 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.

This quarterly report represents a surprise FFO of 2.04%. A quarter ago, this commercial real estate investment trust was expected to post an FFO of $0.49 per share when it actually produced an FFO of $0.50, delivering a surprise 2, 04%.

In the past four quarters, the company has exceeded FFO consensus estimates four times.

Store capital, which is part of the Zacks REIT and Equity Trust – Retail segment, posted revenue of $195.49 million for the quarter ended December 2021, beating Zacks’ consensus estimate by 5.54%. That compares to revenues of $161.83 million a year ago. The company has exceeded consensus revenue estimates three times in the past four quarters.

The sustainability of the immediate stock price movement based on recently released numbers and future FFO expectations will primarily depend on management’s comments on the earnings call.

Shares of Store Capital have lost around 11.7% since the start of the year compared to a decline of -9.7% for the S&P 500.

What’s next for Store Capital?

While Store Capital has underperformed the market so far this year, the question on investors’ minds is: what’s next for the stock?

There is no easy answer to this key question, but a reliable metric that can help investors solve this problem is the company’s FFO outlook. This includes not only current FFO consensus expectations for the upcoming quarter(s), but also how those expectations have changed recently.

Empirical research shows a strong correlation between short-term stock movements and trends in estimate revisions. Investors can track these revisions on their own or rely on a proven rating tool like Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of estimate revisions.

Before that Press release, the trend of estimate revisions for Store Capital: mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions may change following the release of the company’s earnings report, the current situation translates into a No. 3 (hold) Zacks ranking for the stock. Thus, the shares should move in line with the market in the near future. You can see the full list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

It will be interesting to see how the estimates for the next few quarters and the current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current FFO consensus estimate is $0.51 on $187.6 million in revenue for the upcoming quarter and $2.12 on $763.1 million in revenue for the current fiscal year.

Investors should be aware that the outlook for the sector can also have a significant impact on stock performance. In terms of Zacks industry rankings, REIT and Equity Trust – Retail are currently in the top 33% of Zacks 250+ industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of industries ranked by Zacks outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.

Another stock in the same sector, Saul Centers (BFS), has yet to report results for the quarter ending December 2021.

This real estate investment trust involved primarily in shopping malls is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.76 per share in its next report, representing a +7% year-over-year change. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter remained unchanged for the past 30 days.

Saul Centers revenue is expected to be $60.85 million, up 4.4% from the prior year quarter.

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